In recent years, LTE has emerged as a challenger to existing public safety communication protocols. Continual refinements from 3GPP Releases and commercial collaboration between TETRA and P25 vendors with LTE vendors are turning First Responder and Public Safety LTE into a reality. ABI Research estimates the total number of public safety LTE user subscriptions to reach 11 million worldwide by 2020, with a market size of US$5.1 billion.
According to ABI Research the increasing adoption of IoT within industrial settings will result in a substantial growth of the number of connected industrial devices, in particular industrial control devices like PLCs. The research firm estimates that over the period from 2014 to 2020, the number of connected industrial controllers will triple; growing at an average rate of 20 percent.
The global market for LTE capable antennas for wireless infrastructure, including passive and active types, is set to reach almost $4 billion in 2015, according to the latest forecast from ABI Research.
ABI Research estimates that there will be nearly 1.37 billion 4G LTE subscribers worldwide by year-end 2015, up from nearly 650 million in 2014. ABI Research forecasts that the LTE subscriber base will exceed 3.5 billion by 2020, demonstrating a 5 year CAGR of 20.8%. The exponential rise in LTE points-of-presence covered justifies the need for sustained investment in LTE infrastructure, which is expected to grow nearly 10% year-on-year.
LTE-Advanced networks have been actively deployed around the world. At the end of 2014, LTE-Advanced covered its first 100 million people worldwide, just four years since the network’s inception. ABI Research predicts that the coverage will reach 1 billion in four more years.
Tracking rail carts with GPS and cellular could bring value to the rail sector; however, penetration rates on rail carts are currently very low (globally less than 50,000 in 2014), and growth is not forecasted to be very strong over the next 5 years, or even the next 10, according to ABI Research. Therefore, for the time being at least, it looks like RFID will dominate this sector.
According to a new market data forecasts from ABI Research, it will take more than 5 years for 5G to reach 100 million subscriber mark—2 years longer than 4G. 4G subscriber growth was much faster than with previous generations, fueled by the capabilities of increasingly powerful smartphones and the availability of 4G devices. 5G subscriber growth will likely be a bit more muted at first due to the increased complexity of 5G cells and networks, but will pick up in 2023.
Mandated by the European Commission and supported by the dynamic railway industry in the region, the GSM-R system has established a significant market in Europe. Over the past few years the market extended to regions outside Europe including Asia-Pacific, Middle East and Africa. Led by Nokia, Kapsch CarrierCom and Huawei, GSM-R track coverage is growing to 190,000 km by 2020.